Aquecimento Global

Orion

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Ou então, o AG é inócuo. Tudo pode ser evitado.

Quanto à acusação...






Como adaptar para o extremo se calhar sai mais caro que reparar, vai ficar tudo igual. Ali e em todo o lado.

O trajeto mais interessante... Não-Me-Toque -> Chapada ou Chapada -> Não-Me-Toque?

mapa-geografia-do-rio-grande-do-sul.gif


Fatalidades dependem de muita coisa, se alguém ficou com alguma dúvida. Porque é que mencionei? Não é difícil.

Clicar nas regiões apropriadas -> https://clima1.cptec.inpe.br/estacaochuvosa/pt
 


StormRic

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Como adaptar para o extremo se calhar sai mais caro que reparar, vai ficar tudo igual. Ali e em todo o lado.
"O comportamento das chuvas mudou. Eu tenho feito um levantamento e já percebi que de 2013 pra frente nós temos um acumulado de precipitação [chuvas] no mês de mais de 300 mm. A minha pergunta é: o que nós, por exemplo, na Defesa Civil, temos programado para prever essas possibilidades? Em algum momento, vamos começar a ver [inundações] em áreas em que a água não chegava com tanta frequência e vamos lembrar disso que estamos falando aqui."


E claro que na população de poucos conhecimentos e facilmente influenciável aparecem logo teorias ridículas, se não fossem trágicas por incitarem à inacção, remetendo as culpas para algo longe e perverso, e não reconhecendo que a culpa prevista está em cada um.

 
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StormRic

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StormRic

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Póvoa de S.Iria (alt. 140m)

Summer 2023 was the hottest in 2,000 years, study says​

By Gloria Dickie
May 14, 20244:03 PM GMT+1Updated an hour ago

LONDON, May 14 (Reuters) - Last summer, as wildfires swept across the Mediterranean, roads buckled in Texas and heatwaves strained power grids in China, it was not just the warmest summer on record, but the hottest one in some 2,000 years, new research has found.
European scientists last year established that the period from June through August was the warmest in records dating back to 1940 - a clear sign of climate change fueling new extremes.
But the summer heat of 2023 in the Northern Hemisphere also eclipses records over a far longer time horizon, a study in the journal Nature found on Tuesday.
"When you look at the long sweep of history, you can see just how dramatic recent global warming is," said study co-author Jan Esper, a climate scientist at Johannes Gutenberg University in Germany.
Summer 2023 saw land temperatures between 30 and 90 degrees North of latitude reach 2.07 degrees Celsius (3.73 degrees Fahrneheit) higher than pre-industrial averages, the study said.
Scientists used meteorological station records dating back to the mid-1800s combined with tree rings from thousands of trees across nine sites in the Northern Hemisphere, to recreate what annual temperatures looked like in the distant past.
Last summer, they found, was 2.2 C warmer (4 F) than the estimated average temperatures for the years of 1 to 1890, based on these tree ring proxies.
Scientists with the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service said in January that 2023 was "very likely" to have been the warmest in the last 100,000 years.
However, Esper and a team of European scientists have refuted such claims. They argue the scientific methods of gleaning past climate information from sources such as lake and marine sediments and peat bogs, do not allow to draw out year-by-year comparisons for temperature extremes over such a vast time scale.
"We don't have such data," Esper said. "That was an overstatement."
The warming from rising greenhouse gas emissions caused by the burning of fossil fuels was amplified last summer by an El Nino climate pattern which generally leads to warmer global temperatures, Esper said.
"We end up with longer and more severe heatwaves and extended periods of drought," he said.
 

Orion

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"It's true that the climate is always changing, but the warming in 2023, caused by greenhouse gases, is additionally amplified by El Niño conditions, so we end up with longer and more severe heat waves and extended periods of drought," said Professor Jan Esper, the lead author of the study from the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz in Germany. "When you look at the big picture, it shows just how urgent it is that we reduce greenhouse gas emissions immediately."

The researchers note that while their results are robust for the Northern Hemisphere, it is difficult to obtain global averages for the same period since data is sparse for the Southern Hemisphere. The Southern Hemisphere also responds differently to climate change, since it is far more ocean-covered than the Northern Hemisphere.

-> https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/05/240514141249.htm

2023summer_graphic_d.png


-> https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-summer-of-2023-was-the-hottest-in-2-000-years/