Furacão MILTON (Atlântico 2024 #AL14)

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Será agora o grande responsável por 'normalizar' a temporada.

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A discussão #11 tarda em ser emitida, Milton é um caso difícil de previsão.
A proximidade do Iucatão pode cortar algum fornecimento de ar húmido, depende da trajectória seguir as previsões ou não.
Milton é relativamente pequeno, foi a sua contracção para essa dimensão reduzida que está a produzir os ventos de categoria 5+
Se se expandir em área poderá haver uma diminuição dos ventos máximos, mas, claro, um aumento da área de destruição.
 

"Unprecedented is the only word that describes it"​

From CNN's Eric Zerkel and CNN Meteorologist Mary Gilbert

Hurricane Milton blew past expectations when it exploded from a tropical storm late Sunday morning to a Category 5 hurricane just a day later.
Milton’s rapid intensification has been astonishing and prompted notable reactions from experts.
“(We’re) getting historical rates of intensification with Milton today,” hurricane expert Andy Hazleton posted on social media Monday. “Unprecedented is the only word that describes it.”
“Milton is undergoing an exceptionally rapid intensification phase,” Tomer Burg, another meteorologist weighed in.
The hurricane’s strength is “truly jaw-dropping,” Eric Webb, another meteorologist added. “The rate of intensification of Hurricane Milton this morning is nothing short of legendary (and) borderline unprecedented.”
Only two Atlantic hurricanes have ever strengthened more in a 24-hour period than Milton.
And if exceptionally rapid intensification wasn’t enough, the storm has also reached an incredibly low pressure. At the most basic level, hurricanes are just very strong low pressure systems and the lower the pressure drops, generally the stronger the system gets.
Milton’s pressure has been lowering by amounts “you almost never see,” according to Hazelton: “Certainly not in the Gulf in October, certainly not (for a storm) moving east.”


 
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A discussão #11 tarda em ser emitida, Milton é um caso difícil de previsão.

Chega a um ponto em que não há assim tanto para acrescentar. É um produto para... <0.5% da população?

O NHC já publica avisos intermédios -> https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al14/al142024.public_a.010.shtml?

Os residentes podem ignorar o NHC porque o que interessa mesmo é o NWS local.

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
158 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 156 PM EDT Mon Oct 7
2024

Major Hurricane Milton is now an extremely strong Cat 5 hurricane with winds up to 175 mph. Milton will grow in size as it heads towards the West Coast of Florida as a disastrous hurricane. Milton is expected to weaken slightly but will still be a major Cat 3 hurricane at landfall with destructive damage expected on Wednesday.
Storm Surge along and south of the track will be life threatening and catastrophic. If you are asked to evacuate you need to do so.
This storm surge will be life threatening. The high winds will also cause widespread and major damage as the eyewall tracks through the state. If you are outside of the storm surge area and decide to stay you need to have supplies to last for a week or more without power or water.

Bottom line: If Milton stays on its course this will be the most powerful hurricane to hit Tampa Bay in over 100 years. No one in the area has ever experience a hurricane this strong before.

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Aviso 10:
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 84.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

Ao que parece está a haver uma substituição do olho.

Era preferível levar com ele agora, enquanto está minorca. Uns azarados ficavam dizimados mas muitos outros escapavam.

E realisticamente, a devastação dos EUA é uma opção própria. Que esperam de construções de madeira?
 
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