O Estofex prevê trovoadas para amanhã, que podem ir "no máximo" até ao Norte de Portugal (vendo pelo mapa).
E incluem também esta pequena descrição:
With a new upper low approaching southern Iberian Peninsula severe weather potential will increase. Only small progress of this low towards NE is expected until Sunday morning. Moderate jet streak wraps around it and about 10-15m/s of DLS will be available. At low levels, high 0-1km mixing ratios (10-12g/kg) suggest that moderate CAPE will likely result with steepening mid-level lapse rates aloft. Ascent/forcing ahead of the trough should result in scattered thunderstorm initiation. Models suggest that a few organized storm clusters will form. Given the overlaping instability and shear, a couple of supercells could form as well. As storms will be rather slow moving in the highly moistured environment, excessive rainfall seems to be the main threat. A large hail can occur as well, especially more towards the African coast where instability/shear seem slightly higher.
Podem ver o mapa aqui: http://www.estofex.org/
E incluem também esta pequena descrição:
With a new upper low approaching southern Iberian Peninsula severe weather potential will increase. Only small progress of this low towards NE is expected until Sunday morning. Moderate jet streak wraps around it and about 10-15m/s of DLS will be available. At low levels, high 0-1km mixing ratios (10-12g/kg) suggest that moderate CAPE will likely result with steepening mid-level lapse rates aloft. Ascent/forcing ahead of the trough should result in scattered thunderstorm initiation. Models suggest that a few organized storm clusters will form. Given the overlaping instability and shear, a couple of supercells could form as well. As storms will be rather slow moving in the highly moistured environment, excessive rainfall seems to be the main threat. A large hail can occur as well, especially more towards the African coast where instability/shear seem slightly higher.
Podem ver o mapa aqui: http://www.estofex.org/
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